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LIBYAN REVOLUTION OF 2011 – PART 2

Written by Jibreel Sarayi · 3 min read >

While  some  of  these  clashes  had  a  political dimension,  most  were  spontaneous  incidents  triggered  essentially  by  indiscipline  and  hot-headedness  among  revolutionary  brigades.  However,  militias  from  Zintan  and  Misrata  also  used  their  presence in  the  capital  to  search  for  people  they  suspected  of having  participated  in  wartime  atrocities,  leading  to cases  of  torture,  disappearances  and  killings  (Amnesty International, 2012). Outside  Tripoli,  serious  conflicts  developed  between armed  local  actors.  Between  November  2011  and March  2012,  heavy  fighting  erupted  in  several  regions,  including  between  Warshefana  and  Zawiya militias,  between  Mashashiya  and  Zintan,  between Asabea  and  Gharyan,  between  Tobu  and  Zuwayya militias  in  Kufra,  and  between  a  revolutionary  brigade and  the  tribal  establishment  in  Bani  Walid. 

 Among  the most  common  triggers  for  such  conflicts  were  attempts  by  one  group  to  arrest  or  disarm  members  of another  community.  Many  of  these  conflicts  were therefore  directly  related  to  the  NTC’s  slowness  in  advancing  transitional  justice.  Another  common  feature was  attempts  by  one  party  to  label  their  associates as  “Gaddafi  loyalists,”  which often  occurred  when  the conflict  involved  tribal  constituencies  that  had  played a key role in the former regime’s security apparatus. Since  both  tribes  had  dominated  Gaddafi’s  security  apparatus,  many  of  their members  had  been  captured  by  revolutionary  forces. In  sum,  the  civil  war  had  laid  the  groundwork  for  new conflicts that the NTC was unable to contain.

According  to  the  NTC’s  Constitutional  Declaration of  August  2011,  which  lays  out  the  timetable  for  the transition,  elections  to  a  General  Assembly  are  to take  place  within  eight  months  of  Libya’s  declaration of  liberation,  i.e.  by  23  June  2012.  The  assembly  is to  appoint  a  provisional  government  and  a  constituent  committee,  which  will  have  four  months  to  produce  a  draft  constitution,  according  to  an  amended timeframe  adopted  in  March  2012.  New  elections are  to  be  held  seven  months  after  the  constitution has been adopted by referendum. There  is  much  to  suggest  that local  actors  will  continue  to  play  a  key  role  during  the transition  and  will  be  reluctant  to  relinquish  their newly  acquired  power  to  the  central  government (Hüsken,  2012).  

Many  revolutionary  brigades  refuse to  hand  in  their  weapons  before  national  institutions can  provide  security  and  a  fully  legitimate  government  has  taken  office.  But  even  once  these  conditions  have  been  met,  some  cities  or  tribes  –  or  individual  players  in  local  power  centres  –  could  maintain their  militias,  in  order  to  exert  political  influence  when needed. The  transitional  process  could  also  provide opportunities  for  local  actors  to  transform  their  military weight  into  political  power. 

 As  of  March  2012,  nationwide  political  forces  are only  beginning  to  organise.  Even  the  various  Islamist currents,  which  have  the  greatest  potential  to emerge  as  national  forces,  have  yet  to  develop  into well-defined  parties;  the  Libyan  Muslim  Brotherhood co-founded  a  party  in  early  March.  However, the transformation of Libya’s political  landscape  has  only just  begun.  The  weak  central  government  is  less likely  than  newly  emerging  national  political  forces  to challenge  local  actors’  power.  To  date,  the  parties  to  local  conflicts  have  not attempted  to  form  regional  or  national  coalitions.  Interests  and  patterns  of  mobilization  rooted  in  the  local  level  are  likely  to  prevent  Libya  from  descending into another civil war. 

Some of the results of the revolution include:

  • Gaddafi’s government was toppled
  • The NTC assumed power
  • Factional violence leading to another civil war in 2014

It is reported by Wikipedia that about 9400 deaths, 4000 missing, and about 50000 injured were recorded in the Libyan revolution of 2011.

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